PA has about 68 thou cases. Population approx. 12.8 million
Ohio 32 thou.Pop 11.7 million.
The difference? PA population is more concentrated.
Ohio did specific lockdowns on March 15. A general lockdown on March 22.
PA closed schools on March 16, but other lockdowns were "suggestions" except for large gatherings in Philadelphia.
Why so many cases in Italy? And the higher death rate than other countries?
1. Lots of old people
Italians have the sixth-longest life expectancy in the world – 84 years old.
2. Close proximity
Italians aren’t used to social distancing.
3. Dense population
Italy is a densely populated country, with an average density of 533 people per square mile. In comparison, Germany has a population density of 235 people per square mile while the U.S. has 94.
Two-thirds of Italians live in urban areas that are even more dense. Rome has 5,800 people per square mile, and Milan packs more than 19,000 people into every square mile. That’s almost twice the density of Berlin and Washington, D.C.
4. Northern Italy is a business hub
Milan, in northern Italy, is the country’s financial capital, and has close trade and educational connections with China.
5. The Italian outbreak was early. They were relatively slow to lockdown. Other places have learned from their mistakes.
So, Timmer, you may have something right, but as usual it isn't as simple as you make it.
And your point re NYC? As much of a center for everything as anywhere in the US. And as dense. And my preferred source says that DeBlasio (& Cuomo) blew it by ignoring his own capable health department and starting late.
But as usual political attacks explain everything. And lockdowns there are better late than never. With few exceptions the NY dropoff is as good as any in the US. As it should be given the earlier clusterf---. And the rest of the state is doing fairly well. Why? Hmmm---
Florida? As of today Florida has confirmed more than 51,700+ coronavirus cases. NY 367, 600+ By not shutting down Florida generously has shared infection with the rest of the country. As probably NY shared with them.
And your last post? Of course radiation kills viruses. And VitD (sunlight) helps resistance. But gathering in crowds? Are you bucking for a position on the Trump stupid task force? So much for lack of bias.
Here's what medicine says. Link